Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Independents are leaning conservative

I was listening to a republican and democratic strategist debate about the chance democrats will lose seats in both the house and senate, and the possibility republicans might take over one or both of the houses.

The republican strategist noted the democrats might take a good old fashioned whooping. And the democratic strategist noted she expects to lose some seats because that's the normal trend in midterm elections. She said, in fact, that the only presidents who didn't lose seats in the house and senate were FDR during the great depression, and GWB after 9-11.

Which prediction turns out to be true, who really knows. Yet, the democratic strategist then was asked, "What do you think the democrats need to do to change this tide?" She said, "We need to cater to independents. We need to win the votes of independents, because it's independents who determine elections."

She's right, but independents do not vote for the better party. Independents vote for the most popular party, and at present that party is conservative republicans. I say conservative, because the recent trend is to get liberal republicans out of office

Actually, what democrats need to do is become more conservative. Yet, after Obama's speech the other day in which he declared, "I do not quit," I think it's pretty certain he's going to continue the houses on a path to more spending. As one democrat recently said, "To truly get out of this recession we need to spend even more money."

It's this kind of thinking the people have had enough of.

Then the democratic strategist added, "It's not just democrats that will be losing seats. This current trend is against incumbency. And it's not just democrats, it's republicans too."

She is right here. Yet I don't think she understands fully what she just said. My analysis of this is it's not that people have any problem against republicans or democrats. The people have had enough of liberalism tax, regulate and spend policies that are destroying America.

And, it's not just democrats who are liberal. Republican incumbents, like Governor Bill Frisk in Florida, are in for a world of hurt. Whichever party is more conservative come November 2012, that is the party that will lead America into the future.

Yet I can't see the democratic party of the present coming to it's senses. While Republicans were blind in recent years, I think the tea party movement has shed some light on the need for real reform in Washington -- reform that comes from the people and not Washington elitists.

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