Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Conservatism alive and kicking at republican base

Many of my friends say they are going to vote for McCain because the alternative is Barry Obama. Still, they don't think he is the best candidate.

How is it that we got stuck with John McCain anyway, when he barely even registered in any of the polls among republicans a year ago? Why is he the candidate we have no choice to vote for, when we really don't even like him.

Think of it this way. He is not conservative. I'm stating the obvious there. Sure, he says he is to get the vote of his base, but he is not conservative. He's not any more conservative than Bush, who is also not conservative.

Super Tuesday is the day where many presidential nominees are essentially chosen. Up to that date, 70% of the conservative vote went for three candidates: Fred Thompson, Mike Huckabee, and Mitt Romney.

Conservatives who thought the economy was the biggest issue voted for Romney, those who were among the religious right chose Huckabee, and Thompson got the rest of the vote.

So, with the Conservative vote split up, and no one conservative candidate sticking out, that left John McCain with a mere 30% of the vote as the one candidate left with the most votes in early states. Thus, McCain won my default.

That's why John McCain is said to be the luckiest candidate ever.

While many democrats and independents believe that McCain is the choice of the republican party, he really isn't. He won basically because he was able to split the conservative vote.

That's actually a good strategy for Him. The only problem is, he had to spend the majority of his time since then repairing the damage of the base. Why? Because you cannot win the presidency without your base.

I don't care what you will hear in the media, it is not independents that win you the presidency; it is not swing voters: It is your base. And for republicans, it is the conservative movement which is alive and kicking.

I can go on record here and say that no president in the 40 years has won the presidency as a liberal, except when the conservatives in power have screwed up -- which is the case in 2008. It was the case in 1976, and that debacle only lasted four years because Jimmy Carter drove an already bad economy into the ground.

Ronald Reagan had to come and fix it, which is what usually what happens. We have a problem caused by both republicans and democrats, people think government is the answer so they vote for a liberal, and then a real conservative has to come in and un-do the damage that government caused.

It is a fact: Conservatism wins elections. Liberalism loses elections. Clinton did not win because he ran as a liberal. No. He hid his liberalism and ran as a moderate democrat when he was running for office. Clinton basically found a way to neutralize the conservative voters -- the majority of America (In a recent Gallup poll, 75% noted they tend to be more conservative than liberal).

Think of it this way too. Even in the 2006 midterm election, democrats actually ran to the right of republicans, and that is why democrats won the House and Senate. You won't hear that in the media, but it's true. The media is mostly libearl, and the refuse to give any credit to conservatism, even when conservatism is what has won.
What you hear in the media is democrats won because Bush is an idiot (not in those exact words, but close.)

The only candidate in the past 30 years to run as a true conservative was Ronald Reagan, and he won in a landslide. And, no matter who wins this election, republicans pray that a true conservative comes out of the fray -- perhaps Sarah Palin.

So, all these people who say that conservatism is dead, you are only thinking wishfully. Conservatism is alive and well. Conservatism is what will ultimately fix all the problems that currently ail us -- as it always does.

The thing is it usually takes a while. For some reason in this country we have to try to do things that make us feel good -- liberalism, have those programs fail or backfire -- see the Great depression or our current economic crisis, for people to eventually see the light that liberalism is not the answer.

Now, before I have people saying to me: "Um, Obama is the most liberal person in the history of the U.S. to run for president and he is up in the polls over McCain."

Mind you that a)the conservatives really have nothing to get excited about other than to NOT vote for the most liberal candidate ever, and b) the republicans are perceived to be the ones responsible for the current crisis, which we all know is not true.

What you are also not told very often is that there is a difference between conservative and republican, and that I will address in my next post. John McCain is a republican first and conservative second. The ideal candidate would be a conservative first, republican second.

Yet, the media does blame the Bush administration for all that ails us, and way to many people believe everything the media says -- like independents. Besides, no matter who is the president, he always gets blamed for the economy regardless that he couldn't have done anything to fix it anyway.

Which brings me back to McCain. He could turn out to be a good conservative. He has run as a conservative republican. Still, he does not have the voice that Obama has. He does not run out there telling every person what they want to hear regardless of whether he can fulfill all these promises or not (Note: He said he will give 90% of us tax cuts even though 40% of us do not pay any taxes).

If we have learned nothing else from the McCain campaign, or from the Obama campaign for that matter, it is that conservatism is NOT dead. What conservatives need is a voice, a true leader.

And perhaps McCain has given us that leader. We'll have to wait and see.

Conservatism is alive and kicking at the republican base, and yearning for a voice.

1 comment:

Khaki Elephant said...

Another factor: Rudi ran the worst political campaign in modern history.